[{"command":"insert","method":null,"selector":".course-modal-ajax-placeholder-959232","data":"\u003Cdiv class=\u0022container content-rte\u0022\u003E\n  \u003Cdiv class=\u0022row\u0022\u003E\n    \u003Cdiv class=\u0022box col-md-6 bg-primary text-white\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Ch2 class=\u0022h1 text-left\u0022\u003E  Mod\u00e9lisation prospective : contexte, enjeux, fondamentaux\n\u003C\/h2\u003E\n                  \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EECTS :\n          3\n        \u003C\/div\u003E\n      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003ESemestre calendaire :\n          Semestre 1\n        \u003C\/div\u003E\n      \u003C\/div\u003E\n            \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003ED\u00e9tail du volume horaire\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                          \u003Cspan class=\u0022field__label h4 mt-5 \u0022\u003ECours magistraux :\u003C\/span\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E20\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                                                                                        \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003ELangue d\u0026#039;enseignement\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003EFran\u00e7ais\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EEnseignement \u00e0 distance\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003Enon\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n      \u003C\/div\u003E\n    \u003Cdiv class=\u0022box col-md-6\u0022\u003E\n            \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EPr\u00e9requis\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003ECe cours n\u00e9cessite des bases solides en micro et macro\u00e9conomie (niveau L3 au moins); des bases solides en math\u00e9matiques appliqu\u00e9es niveau L2 (optimisation, calcul diff\u00e9rentiel, etc.).\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EProgramme \/ plan \/ contenus\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003ELe cours est divis\u00e9 en huit s\u00e9ances de 2,5 heures plus ou moins ind\u00e9pendantes et fait intervenir diff\u00e9rents enseignants-chercheurs sp\u00e9cialistes des th\u00e8mes suivants : principes g\u00e9n\u00e9raux de mod\u00e9lisation int\u00e9gr\u00e9e, \u00e9pist\u00e9mologie de la mod\u00e9lisation, fondamentaux des mod\u00e8les macro\u00e9conomiques, fondamentaux des mod\u00e8les du syst\u00e8me \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, d\u00e9marche prospective, mod\u00e8les et sc\u00e9narios, mod\u00e9lisation prospective et d\u00e9cision.\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EObjectifs d\u0026#039;apprentissage\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003EL\u2019objectif de l\u2019UE est de pr\u00e9senter les fondamentaux des outils de mod\u00e9lisation int\u00e9gr\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019interface \u00e9nergie-environnement-\u00e9conomie (E3 models, Integrated Assessment Models) utilis\u00e9s dans une d\u00e9marche prospective pour \u00e9valuer les politiques environnementales, \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques et climatiques: principes de mod\u00e9lisation int\u00e9gr\u00e9e, fondements th\u00e9oriques, d\u00e9veloppement des outils dans leur contexte historique, d\u00e9marche prospective, \u00e9pist\u00e9mologie de la mod\u00e9lisation, applications et d\u00e9veloppement de sc\u00e9narios, liens avec les processus de d\u00e9cision, etc.\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EOrganisation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale et modalit\u00e9s p\u00e9dagogiques\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003ECoordonnateur\u0026nbsp;:\u0026nbsp;Julien LEFEVRE (AgroParisTech - CIRED)\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003EEquipe p\u00e9dagogique\u0026nbsp;:\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E\u0026nbsp;-\u0026nbsp;Julien LEFEVRE, (AgroParisTech - CIRED)\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- C\u00e9line GUIVARCH (ENPC-CIRED),\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric GHERSI (CNRS-CIRED),\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Franck LECOCQ (AgroParisTech-CIRED),\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Nadia MA\u00cfZI (Mines Paris \u2013 PSL)\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n                \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EComp\u00e9tences\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003EAu terme de ce cours les \u00e9tudiants auront acquis un premier niveau de capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 expertiser des travaux de mod\u00e9lisation prospective et \u00e0 mobiliser des outils de mod\u00e9lisation int\u00e9gr\u00e9e, notamment en appui de la d\u00e9cision.\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003ER\u00e9sum\u00e9 des comp\u00e9tences en anglais :\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003EFirst-level ability to assess works based on integrated assessment models and to use integrated modelling tools, particularly in support of decision-making\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003EBibliographie\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003E\u003Cp\u003E- Moss, R.H. et al. (2010). The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature.\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Keppo, I. et al. (2021). Exploring the possibility space: Taking stock of the diverse capabilities and gaps in integrated assessment models. Environmental Research Letters.\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Wilson, C. et al. (2021). Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation. Climatic Change.\u003C\/p\u003E\n\u003Cp\u003E- Berger, G. (1964). Ph\u00e9nom\u00e9nologie du temps et prospective\u003C\/p\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field-spacing\u0022\u003E\n      \u003Cdiv class=\u0022field__label h3 dash\u0022\u003ENature de l\u0026#039;\u00e9valuation\u003C\/div\u003E\n                        \u003Cdiv class=\u0022mt-5 text-justify\u0022\u003E\n                                      \u003Cspan\u003EEvaluation Continue non Int\u00e9grale\u003C\/span\u003E\n                      \u003C\/div\u003E\n                  \u003C\/div\u003E\n      \u003C\/div\u003E\n  \u003C\/div\u003E\n\u003C\/div\u003E\n","settings":null}]